Risks of Implementing a One-Person, One-Vote System in Somalia

Security Concerns

Al-Shabaab’s control over large parts of Somalia presents a significant threat to the election process. The group’s presence [Damuljadiid] could lead to violence and intimidation, discouraging voter turnout and undermining the overall credibility of the elections.

Political Instability

Rivalries between federal states and the central government are already tense. Introducing a one-person one-vote system could escalate these tensions if the election process is perceived as unfair and potentially leading to conflict and further destabilization.

Logistical Difficulties

Somalia’s limited infrastructure and resources make holding nationwide elections a daunting task. Challenges like poor road networks, lack of access to remote areas and insufficient polling stations could hinder voter participation, leading to questions about the fairness and inclusivity of the process.

Clan Dynamics

Somalia’s political landscape is deeply rooted in clan-based systems. A shift to direct elections could be met with resistance from powerful clans who fear losing influence. This resistance could manifest in conflicts, threatening the legitimacy and acceptance of the election results.

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Haji Warsame